While
the daily chart of the US SPX500 continues to trade within a wide and
volatile range of a distribution market cycle, there are some early
signs that the daily has once again found the bottom of the range and is
ready to rally higher. This potential reversal can be taken by watching
for a floor, however, a more prudent confirmation would be to wait for
momentum higher.

The
intraday, 240-minute time frame is indicating that the bullish momentum
off the 1069.5 Monday session low could be attracting enough buyers to
carry the US SPX500 through the downtrend line resistance of the Channel
Down formation. The entry trigger is currently 1080 (A). Should the
bulls find the momentum necessary to trade through the downtrend line
and reverse the 240-minute downtrend, an Autochartist Reversal of the
Trend (ART) will be confirmed. As the Initial Trend reading is just one
bar at present, it would be good to wait for momentum since there is
sufficient confirmation that the trend on the 240-minute time frame has
transitioned into a sideways market cycle. The downtrend line resistance
of the Channel Down is the decision level for the entry long. A six bar
or greater Breakout reading would offer strong support for
follow-through higher.
While
Channel Down pattern alerts would generally be considered
"Continuation" patterns as seen by the Trend Change there is no
confirmation that the downtrend is still the dominant market direction.
This pattern is ideally suited to capitalize on a surge of upward,
corrective momentum. However, do not ignore the fact that exhaustion at
the 1080 level could reinvigorate the bears and allow for a move lower
towards pattern support at 1050.
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