Technical analysis involves the study of past
price movements to forecast future price trends.
Technical analysts are also called chartists
because they use a variety of charting techniques
to identify patterns in market data. To identify
trading opportunities, technical analysts look
for:
Trend lines
Support and
resistance levels
Moving averages
Other market phenomena
The
assumption is that all fundamental factors are
already automatically reflected in prices. Some
traders use only one type of data analysis, but
many use some form of both.
Technical analysis covers
an extremely broad spectrum of
concepts and techniques. Many
technical methods are quite
complex, relying on reams of
statistical information. Other
technical methods may be
simple and are based on rather
simple visual interpretation
of a price chart.
Technical analysts/traders
gather price data and organize
it into various formats. Most
formats provide a picture of
market activity that analysts
then use to predict price
movement in the future.
Analysts typically develop
market forecasts based on
patterns that take shape on
the charts they use to keep
track of prices.
They
also make predictions based on
mathematical calculations that
indicate whether a market
might have embarked on a
trend. In practice, they
usually use two or more
technical methods in
combination to enhance the
effectiveness of their market
analyses.
The formats
that technical analysts use to
organize price data fall into
three general categories:
1. Bar charts
2.
Trend indicators
3.
Character of market
indicators
A key concept in technical
analysis is that of support
and resistance - the price
levels from which a market
repeatedly rebounds (support)
or declines (resistance).
1. Support: demand exists,
buyers enter market
2.
Resistance: supply increases,
speculators often decide it is
time to sell
Trend indicators are
probably the second most
common way of organizing price
data. The most popular trend
indicator is the moving
average. It is easy to
construct and can be used
alone or in conjunction with
other technical methods, such
as bar charting. Moving
averages can also be smoothed
or optimized to fit different
markets and market
conditions.